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Israel

National Summary

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapon status. The Israeli government stringently enforces a policy of treating any information that may have significance in that regard as classified.[1] This approach, known as ‘nuclear opacity’ (amimut in Hebrew), is unique to Israel and means there is virtually no authorized public disclosure on any aspect of the country’s nuclear weapons program.

Despite Israel’s policy of opacity, there has been a broad international consensus for more than half a century that it was the sixth state to develop nuclear weapons, having possessed them since the late 1960s or the early 1970s.[2] It is believed that the country initiated its nuclear weapons program secretly in the mid-to-late 1950s and reached the weapons threshold within a decade, on the eve of the 1967 Six-Day War.[3]

Israel’s policies and practices regarding nuclear transparency are categorically and fundamentally different from all other states that possess nuclear weapons today. The eight other states that possess nuclear weapons have all publicly declared their nuclear-armed status, typically by conducting and announcing a nuclear test. In contrast, Israel has consistently and deliberately avoided releasing any information on the status or nature of its nuclear program and has never openly conducted a nuclear test.[4]

The Israeli policy of secrecy on nuclear matters started even before the state had any concrete nuclear project; the very idea of nuclear-armed Israel was treated as a forbidden topic nationally.[5] When Israel started its Dimona nuclear project in the late 1950s, the entire initiative was wrapped in complete secrecy.[6] When the United States discovered the Dimona construction in 1960 and demanded an explanation, Israel conceded it was building a nuclear reactor but stated the project was strictly peaceful, denying any weapons intentions.[7]

By the mid-1960s, after Levi Eshkol replaced Ben Gurion as the Israeli prime minister, Israel had quietly changed its public nuclear stance (but without ever acknowledging it). While total secrecy persisted around its nuclear program, Israel under Eshkol was no longer stating that its program was strictly peaceful or explicitly denying any interest in nuclear weapons. Instead, the country adopted the more nuanced and ambiguous declaratory stance that ‘Israel will not be the first to introduce nuclear weapons to the region.’[8]

Initially this statement was made orally and privately by Israeli leaders in response to queries at home and abroad.[9] In 1965, it appeared in a classified Memorandum of Understanding between the Israeli and US governments.[10] And in May 1966, Prime Minister Eshkol used this declaratory formula for the first time in a public speech to the Israeli Knesset.[11] Ever since that speech, it has become Israel’s official nuclear mantra.

By 1969, as part of a secret (and still unconfirmed) political deal between Israeli Prime Minister Golda Meir and US President Richard Nixon, nuclear opacity had become a symbiotic bi-national policy towards Israel’s nuclear weapons.[12] The essence of that deal, it is commonly understood, was that Israel would continue not to disclose its nuclear weapons capabilities, while the United States would look the other way, removing the nuclear issue from the bilateral agenda and shielding Israel from criticism in international forums.[13]

Over decades, Israel has built and maintained a powerful, multi-layered governance system designed to enforce the practice of amimut/opacity in all Israeli public discourse, and especially, in Israeli electronic and print media. This system includes intelligence, legal, and law enforcement institutions, supported by a taboo-like societal norm. The central institution of this censorship system is the office of the military censor (commonly known in Israel as the censora), a military unit established as early as 1948 with the creation of the Israel Defense Forces (IDF).

While the censora’s overall mandate is broad – i.e., to prevent the publication of any classified material whose release could greatly harm Israeli security – enforcing the nuclear code of silence has always been one of its primary functions. The censora’s mandate in this regard is both broad and vague. Its basic principle is to block the release by Israeli sources of any information that would disclose, indicate, or shed light on Israeli activities related to nuclear weapons, directly or indirectly. As such, for any mention of Israeli nuclear weapons to be allowed in the Israeli media, it must be attributed to ‘foreign media’ or ‘foreign sources.’ The phrase commonly used by the censora and by Israeli journalists is ‘according to foreign sources’ (lefi pirsumim zarim in Hebrew).

Although the censora’s overall authority has been significantly restricted in recent years, its impact on nuclear affairs has hardly diminished.[14] The opacity policy and its enforcement through the censora have rarely been questioned in Israel, either by the media or by politicians. The nuclear issue is a societal taboo in Israel; most Israelis agree with the official policy that the nuclear issue should not be discussed in public. For this reason, Israel has had very limited open debate on its nuclear policy, even in academia.[15]

Over the decades, there have been a few notable occasions when Israeli officials or politicians (prime ministers, presidents, and others) have slipped up slightly and violated the exact wording of the official nuclear formulation or have made statements that were widely interpreted as referring to an Israeli nuclear weapons capability. The only Israeli politician who at one point seemed to question the policy of opacity was opposition leader and former Minister of Defence Avigdor Lieberman, in public statements in June-July 2024. In a post on X, Lieberman stated, ‘To stop the Iranian nuclear program, which is already in the weaponization stages, we must use all the means at our disposal. It must be clear that at this stage, it is impossible to prevent Iran from obtaining nuclear weapons through conventional means.’[16]

Nevertheless, the information disclosed in these isolated instances has never gone beyond an apparent confirmation, mostly in veiled or euphemistic language, that Israel is indeed a nuclear weapons capable state. Moreover, in almost all such cases, the officials involved have either quickly corrected their statements or acknowledged an error and have reiterated the official mantra that Israel will not be the first to introduce nuclear weapons to the region.

In December 1974, for example, Israeli President Ephraim Katzir told an international group of scientists visiting Israel, ‘It has always been our intention to develop a nuclear potential... we now have that potential,’ and that Israel could produce nuclear weapons ‘within a reasonable period of time.’ However, Katzir’s office quickly published a clarification, stating that ‘Israel has the general potential and technological and scientific know-how and experience to realize its nuclear potential should it so desire.’[17]

On December 11, 2006, in an interview with the German television channel N24, Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert noted that the United States, France, the United Kingdom, and Russia had nuclear weapons, and were ‘civilized countries that do not threaten the foundations of the world.’ He then stated, ‘Iran openly, explicitly and publicly threatens to wipe Israel off the map. Can you say that this is the same level, when they are aspiring to have nuclear weapons, as America, France, Israel, Russia?’[18] In other cases, the language used has been more veiled. In August 2018, speaking at the nuclear research centre in Dimona, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stated that Israel has the ‘means to destroy’ its enemies, which was widely interpreted as a veiled reference to its nuclear arsenal.[19]

Israel has had only one case of a nuclear whistleblower. Mordechai Vanunu is a former Israeli nuclear technician who worked for nearly a decade at the Dimona nuclear facility. In 1986, after he was fired from Dimona, Vanunu provided photos and information about the facility to the London Sunday Times. This information was widely interpreted as the first insider corroboration of the existence of Israel’s clandestine and sophisticated nuclear weapons program. Scientists such as Frank Barnaby and Theodore Taylor concluded from Vanunu’s testimony and photos that Israel’s capabilities went beyond simple fission bombs. They argued that Vanunu’s evidence indicated the production of lithium-6 and tritium, meaning that Israel was engaged in the production of components for fusion-boosted or multi-stage thermonuclear weapons.[20]

In response to the release, Israel took extraordinary steps to kidnap Vanunu in Italy and return him to Israel to face trial. He was convicted of treason by an Israeli court in 1987 and served 18 years in prison, including over a decade in solitary confinement. Even after his release in 2004, he has continued to face severe restrictions on his freedom of movement, speech, and association.

Official sources

  1. ^ Avner Cohen, The Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), especially ch. 4.
  2. ^ Hedrick Smith, ‘U.S. Assumes the Israelis Have A-Bomb or its Parts,’ New York Times, 18 July 1970; also, David Burnham, ‘C.I.A. Said in 1974 Israel Had A-Bombs,’ New York Times, 26 January 1978.
  3. ^ Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), pp 273-76. This was the first public source to reveal that the 1967 Six-Day War had a nuclear dimension. In the days before the war broke out, Israel quickly assembled crude nuclear devices for the first time ever. For testimony from a former senior Israeli officer involved in this operation, see Avner Cohen, ‘Interview with Yitzhak Ya’akov (Ya’tza)’, Wilson Center Digital Archive [English and Hebrew]. http://digitalarchive.wilsoncenter.org/document/145093; William J. Broad and David E. Sanger, ‘“Last Secret” of 1967 War: Israel’s Doomsday Plan for Nuclear Display’, The Independent, 9 June 2017, https://www.independent.co.uk/news/long_reads/last-secret-of-the-1967-war-israel-s-doomsday-plan-for-nuclear-display-a7775076.html
  4. ^ There is public debate, however, about whether Israel tested a nuclear device on September 22, 1979 – the ‘VELA’ event. See Avner Cohen and William Burr, ‘What the U.S. Government Really Thought of Israel’s Apparent 1979 Nuclear Test,’ Politico Magazine, December 08, 2016, http://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2016/12/1979-vela-incident-nuclear-test-israel-south-africa-214507; William Burr, Avner Cohen, Lars-Erik De Geer, Victor Gilinsky, Sasha Polakow-Suransky, Henry Sokolski, Leonard Weiss and Christopher Wright, ‘Blast from the Past,’ Foreign Policy, September 22, 2019. https://foreignpolicy.com/2019/09/22/blast-from-the-past-vela-satellite-israel-nuclear-double-flash-1979-ptbt-south-atlantic-south-africa/
  5. ^ Avner Cohen, The Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), pp. 56-57, 90-91.
  6. ^ Avner Cohen, The Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), pp. 57-58.
  7. ^ Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), 79-97; Avner Cohen, The Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), pp. 59-62.
  8. ^ The language of ambiguity rather than denial started to surface in early 1964; during a meeting between Prime Minister Eshkol and US President Lyndon B. Johnson in June 1964, Eshkol no longer reiterated the pledge that Dimona was strictly ‘peaceful.’ See, Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), pp. 195-204.
  9. ^ Apparently, the first Israeli leader to use this formula was Shimon Peres, on April 2, 1963. In an unexpected meeting with US President John F. Kennedy (that is, unexpected for Peres), Kennedy inquired about Israel’s nuclear intentions. Improvising, Peres responded that, ‘Israel will not be the first to introduce nuclear weapons to the region.’ See Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), pp. 118-119, 32-34.
  10. ^ (10 In the Memorandum, signed on March 10, 1965, Israel ‘reaffirmed’ that it ‘will not be the first to introduce nuclear weapons into the Arab-Israel area’, while the United States pledged to provide Israel with modern conventional weapons. See Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), p. 207.
  11. ^ Avner Cohen, Israel and the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 1998), p. 233.
  12. ^ On the historical origins of the 1969 Nixon-Meir deal, see Avner Cohen, The Worst-Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), pp. 1-33. For an incomplete record of declassified US documents related to the deal, see Avner Cohen and William Burr (eds), Israel Crosses the Threshold, National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book, No. 189, April 28, 2006. http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/NSAEBB/NSAEBB189/ See also, Avner Cohen and William Burr Israel Crosses the Threshold II: The Nixon Administration Debates the Emergence of the Israeli Nuclear Program, National Security Archive Electronic Briefing Book, No. 485, September 12, 2014. http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/nukevault/ebb485/; Avner Cohen and William Burr, Don’t Like That Israel Has the Bomb? Blame Nixon, Foreign Policy (on-line), September 12, 2014. https://foreignpolicy.com/2014/09/12/dont-like-that-israel-has-the-bomb-blame-nixon/; Avner Cohen and William Burr, How Israel Hid Its Secret Nuclear Weapons Program: An exclusive look inside newly declassified documents shows how Israel blocked U.S. efforts to uncover its secret nuclear reactor, Politico Magazine. April 15, 2015. https://www.politico.com/magazine/story/2015/04/israel-nuclear-weapons-117014/
  13. ^ Adam Entous, How Trump and Three Other U.S. Presidents Protected Israel’s Worst-Kept Secret: Its Nuclear Arsenal, New Yorker, June 18, 2018. https://www.newyorker.com/news/news-desk/how-trump-and-three-other-us-presidents-protected-israels-worst-kept-secret-its-nuclear-arsenal
  14. ^ On the domestic institutional and social aspects of Israel’s nuclear opacity, see Avner Cohen, The Worst Kept Secret: Israel’s Bargain with the Bomb (Columbia University Press, 2010), ch. 4 and 5; Aluf Benn, ‘Israel: Censoring the Past,’ Bulletin of Atomic Scientists, Vol 57, No. 4 (July 2001). https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/full/10.2968/057004006
  15. ^ Avner Cohen, Israel’s Last Taboo (In Hebrew), Kinneret Zmora-Bitan Dvir Publishing House, 2005.
  16. ^ MME Staff, ‘Israeli opposition leader Lieberman says ‘all means’ should be used to destroy Iran’s nuclear programme,’ Middle East Eye, 3 July 2024. https://www.middleeasteye.net/news/opposition-leader-says-israel-must-use-all-means-destroy-irans-nuclear-programme
  17. ^ See Jewish Telegraph Agency, Daily News Bulletin, December 3, 1974. https://www.jta.org/archive/katzir-israel-has-nuclear-potential (http://pdfs.jta.org/1974/1974-12-03_227.pdf for the original.)
  18. ^ See Greg Myre, ‘In a Slip, Israel’s Leader Seems to Confirm Its Nuclear Arsenal,’ New York Times, December 12, 2006. https://www.nytimes.com/2006/12/12/world/middleeast/12olmert.html; The Associated Press, ‘Olmert’s remark about weapons sets off crisis,’ NBC News, December 12, 2006. https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna12342829
  19. ^ See, Dan Williams, ‘At Dimona reactor, Netanyahu warns Israel’s foes they risk ruin,’ Reuters, August 29, 2018. https://www.reuters.com/article/world/at-dimona-reactor-netanyahu-warns-israels-foes-they-risk-ruin-idUSKCN1LE26U/
  20. ^ For a scientific interpretation of Vanunu’s disclosures see Frank Barnaby, The Invisible Bomb: Nuclear Arms Race in the Middle East (I. B. Tauris, 1989); see also Yoel Cohen, The Whistleblower of Dimona: Israel, Vanunu and the Bomb (Holmes and Meier, 2003); Yoel Cohen, ‘Vanunu, The Sunday Times, and the Dimona question,’ Israel Affairs, Vol. 16, No. 3, 2010, https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13537121.2010.487730?needAccess=true; Avner Cohen and Benjamin Frankel, ‘Why the Israeli ‘Spy’ was imprisoned’, New York Times, April 15, 1988. https://www.nytimes.com/1988/04/15/opinion/why-the-israeli-spy-was-imprisoned.html
Israel

Delivery vehicle numbers

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Delivery vehicle types

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Fissile material facilities

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Fissile material stocks

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Integration of AI

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Modernisation plans

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Negative security assurances

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Nuclear doctrine

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Pre-notification of tests & exercises

Partially discloses

Israel provides a minimal level of public information on missile tests, space launch activities, and military exercises, for the purposes of air and maritime safety. However, it generally does not give specific, detailed advance notice of launches, and, consistent with its policy of nuclear opacity, these notifications acknowledge nothing on the nuclear domain.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Strategic non-nuclear technologies

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Warhead numbers

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16

Warhead yields

Doesn’t disclose

Israel has a strict, long-standing policy of refusing to confirm or deny anything, either directly or indirectly, about its nuclear weapons status. The Israeli government treats any information that may have significance in that regard as classified and stringently enforces its domestic censorship.

Last updated: 24 April 2026 08:16